Hedge stock portfolios using prediction markets

Traditional hedging (options, shorts) is complex and expensive. TradeOff uses AI to match your portfolio risks with prediction market bets that pay out when real-world events hurt your holdings.

THE PROBLEM
  • —Options require specialized knowledge
  • —Shorting has unlimited downside risk
  • —Traditional hedges are expensive and illiquid
  • —Most investors leave portfolios unprotected
THE SOLUTION
  • —Bet directly on events affecting your holdings
  • —Capped downside (know exactly what you risk)
  • —24/7 liquidity on Polymarket
  • —AI-powered risk analysis and recommendations
HOW IT WORKS
01
Upload Portfolio
Add your stock holdings (ticker, shares, price). System calculates total value and sector exposure.
02
AI Risk Analysis
Wood Wide AI analyzes concentration risk, sector exposure, regulatory threats, and event-specific vulnerabilities.
03
Get Hedge Recommendations
Receive specific prediction market bets that hedge your risks. Each recommendation shows allocation size, confidence level, and reasoning.
04
Execute on Polymarket
Place bets on Polymarket. If adverse events occur, your prediction market positions pay out, offsetting stock losses.
WHY PREDICTION MARKETS
Capped Downside
Maximum loss is your bet amount. No infinite losses like traditional shorts.
CRITICAL
Binary Outcomes
Clear yes/no events. Either it happens or it doesn't. Simple to understand and price.
CRITICAL
Event-Specific Hedging
Hedge against actual events you're worried about (regulation, bans, lawsuits) not just price movements.
CRITICAL
24/7 Liquidity
Trade anytime. Exit positions when you want. No waiting for market hours or option expiry.
HIGH
TradeOff is an educational tool. Not financial advice. Prediction market betting involves risk. Only bet what you can afford to lose.